IV is low with bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 2.1% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.28x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 14% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.94x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 21.3% — normal range
Effective IV 41.3% (ATM 21.3% + spread 10.0% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 14.44% (spread 10.00% + slippage 4.44%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 15.35 (vega 15.353 / spread 10.00%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +15% (bullish) — Raw: +9%
|OI skew| 25.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew +58.7%, OI skew +25.9% — aligned
0-DTE 13%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +28%, ATM: -7%, OTM: +4% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 22% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.6x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 5.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 88% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 18% — mixed
Aggressive execution 46% — patient
Conviction +15 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 10.0% — wide
OI 83,639 — deep
Volume 4,383/day — adequate
$0.50 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 22% — tighter than sector
Depth 161.3 contracts (bid:90.2 ask:71.1) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.44% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -6.1% — contango
IV percentile 2% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -0.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 398.78 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +15% @ 58% consistency — unclear
Score 48 (ITM 20% + inst 18%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.