Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 56.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.47x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 60% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.86x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 36.7% — normal range
Effective IV 58.8% (ATM 36.7% + spread 11.1% + bias) — good value
Total drag 23.49% (spread 11.07% + slippage 12.42%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 52.77 (vega 58.418 / spread 11.07%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -17% (bearish) — Raw: -26%
|OI skew| 23.1% — call-heavy
Vol skew -10.2%, OI skew +23.1% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 41%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -13%, ATM: -19%, OTM: -45% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 66% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.9% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 12% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 39% — patient
Conviction -17 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.1% — wide
OI 37,818 — adequate
Volume 334/day — thin
$0.55 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 61% — wider than sector
Depth 56.7 contracts (bid:41.4 ask:15.3) — thin
Avg slippage 12.42% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -14.2% — contango
IV percentile 56% — neutral
IV kink -2.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 964.00 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -17% @ 59% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.