IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 91.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.44x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 95% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.20x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 57.1% — normal range
Effective IV 94.7% (ATM 57.1% + spread 18.8% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 20.44% (spread 18.78% + slippage 1.66%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.77 (vega 3.325 / spread 18.78%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -20% (bearish) — Raw: -24%
|OI skew| 0.2% — balanced
Vol skew +48.5%, OI skew -0.2% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 38%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +16%, ATM: -78%, OTM: -39% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 19% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.6x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 5.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +9.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 68% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 23% — mixed
Aggressive execution 7% — patient
Conviction -20 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 18.8% — wide
OI 106,855 — deep
Volume 6,097/day — active
$0.94 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 95% — much wider than sector
Depth 407.7 contracts (bid:46.3 ask:361.4) — adequate
Avg slippage 1.66% — fair
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +19.8% — backwardation
IV percentile 92% — seller opportunity
IV kink 8.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 29.22 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -20% @ 60% consistency — unclear
Score 53 (ITM 20% + inst 23%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.