bullish flow with unusual activity. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 66.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.67x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 64% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.92x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 54.5% — normal range
Effective IV 85.9% (ATM 54.5% + spread 15.7% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 26.29% (spread 15.68% + slippage 10.61%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.58 (vega 2.471 / spread 15.68%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +4% (neutral) — Raw: +8%
|OI skew| 18.9% — put-heavy
Vol skew +63.3%, OI skew -18.9% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 33%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +29%, ATM: +16%, OTM: -1% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 28% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.9x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 8.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
2 day(s) elevated — sustained
OI change +7.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 81% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 5% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 49% — patient
Conviction +4 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 15.7% — wide
OI 24,916 — adequate
Volume 2,082/day — adequate
$0.78 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 80% — much wider than sector
Depth 101.5 contracts (bid:53.1 ask:48.4) — adequate
Avg slippage 10.61% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -8.3% — contango
IV percentile 67% — neutral
IV kink -2.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 4.17 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +4% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 35 (ITM 20% + inst 5%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.