EBAYeBay Inc
Options Analysis Report•SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
Market Cap $50.3B|NASDAQ
● 2026-05-15$113.24
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-05-14 EOD data
1Y +60.4%YTD +30.1%7D +5.2%
Options Vol
10,265
30D
Implied Move
±9.8%
IV Rank
28%
EBAY Options Overview
Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
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Value
Is IV priced right?
6.0
ExpensiveCheap
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV
levels.Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
IV Rank
≤35%IV Rank 55.3% — elevated vs history
IV/HV Ratio
<1.05xIV/HV 0.91x — IV ≤ HV
Sector Relative≤50%
Sector percentile 35% — below sector median
Term Structure
<1.1xFront/Back 0.97x — contango
Skew Normal
<1.25xPut/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
Absolute IV
<80%ATM IV 36.5% — normal range
Spread-Adjusted Value
<80%Effective IV 94.3% (ATM 36.5% + spread 28.9% + bias) — expensive
Execution Efficiency
<3.0%Total drag 40.92% (spread 28.91% + slippage 12.01%) — high friction
Vega Efficiency
≥5.0Vega efficiency 3.10 (vega 8.959 / spread 28.91%) — spread drag
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
5.0
BearishBullish
Analyzes
put/call ratios
, open interest skew
, and flow direction to determine market bias.Risk ChecksNeutral - Weak signal (Conviction: +3%, Raw: +2%)
Flow Direction
|net sentiment| ≥25%Conviction-weighted: +3% (neutral) — Raw: +2%
OI Skew Magnitude
≥15%|OI skew| 4.6% — balanced
Volume-OI Alignment
Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%Vol skew -5.9%, OI skew +4.6% — divergent (opposite)
Conviction Quality
≥2/3 conditions0-DTE 24%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI Momentum
|change| ≥3%OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
Smart Money Flow
|weighted flow| ≥20%ITM: -23%, ATM: -13%, OTM: +8% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%
Sector P/C percentile 70% — very bearish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
3.5
QuietActive
Detects volume surges,
block trades
, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.Risk Checks2/9 checks passed
Volume Surge
≥1.5xVolume 0.4x avg — normal
Turnover Rate
≥15%Vol/OI 6.4% — normal turnover
Strike Concentration
≥60%Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
Multi-Day Persistence
≥2 days1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI Build
≥5%OI change +7.8% (5d) — building
Sector Relative≥60%
Sector activity percentile 64% — active vs sector
Trade Quality
≥30%Large trade volume 10% — mostly retail
Execution Urgency
≥60%Aggressive execution 14% — patient
Flow Conviction
≥30Conviction +3 (bullish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
4.1
IlliquidLiquid
Evaluates
bid-ask spreads
, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.Risk Checks4/8 checks passed
Tradeable Spread
≤5.0%Spread 28.9% — wide
Adequate OI
≥10,000OI 161,230 — deep
Active Volume
≥500Volume 10,265/day — active
Reasonable Cost
≤$0.50$1.45 to cross — expensive
Strike Coverage
≥5 strikes0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector Relative≤40%
Sector spread percentile 36% — tighter than sector
Order Book Depth
≥100 contractsDepth 283.3 contracts (bid:86.5 ask:196.8) — adequate
Execution Quality
<1.0%Avg slippage 12.01% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
6.2
RiskyFavorable
Considers earnings proximity,
time decay
, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.Risk Checks4/9 checks passed
Term Structure Clarity
|slope| ≥5%Slope -3.2% — flat/unclear
IV Percentile Clarity
<30 or >70IV percentile 55% — neutral
Event Detection
≥10pts kinkIV kink 1.1pts — no clear event
Theta/Vega Clarity
<0.5 or >2.0θ/ν ratio 80.20 — favors income trades
Expiration Distribution
≥3 expirations5 liquid expirations — flexible
Event Risk
≥60% (safe)safe window: No events detected
Spread Momentum
<1.2 ratioSpread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow Momentum
≥25% strength + ≥50% consistencyFlow +3% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Smart Money Timing
≥40 composite scoreScore 40 (ITM 20% + inst 10%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
Option Buyers
Long Calls5.4
bullishIV fair, mixed flow
Long Puts5.4
bearishIV fair, mixed flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.7
bullishIV fair, mixed flow
Covered Call4.7
bearishIV fair, mixed flow
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.