Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 67.7% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.05x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 73% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.95x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 41.3% — normal range
Effective IV 94.8% (ATM 41.3% + spread 26.7% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 35.61% (spread 26.73% + slippage 8.88%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.15 (vega 3.061 / spread 26.73%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -17% (bearish) — Raw: -23%
|OI skew| 10.1% — balanced
Vol skew -36.3%, OI skew +10.1% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 40%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: -42%, OTM: +1% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 92% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 21.6% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 93% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 35% — patient
Conviction -17 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 26.7% — wide
OI 5,089 — thin
Volume 1,099/day — adequate
$1.34 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 75% — wider than sector
Depth 63.3 contracts (bid:32.8 ask:30.5) — thin
Avg slippage 8.88% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -5.0% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 68% — neutral
IV kink -1.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 2.93 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -17% @ 59% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.