Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 46.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.16x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 46% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.90x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 33.8% — normal range
Effective IV 56.2% (ATM 33.8% + spread 11.2% + bias) — good value
Total drag 15.70% (spread 11.21% + slippage 4.49%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 104.95 (vega 117.647 / spread 11.21%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -9% (neutral) — Raw: -10%
|OI skew| 22.6% — call-heavy
Vol skew +41.4%, OI skew +22.6% — aligned
0-DTE 20%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -18%, ATM: -1%, OTM: -12% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 24% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +6.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 36% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 30% — patient
Conviction -9 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.2% — wide
OI 37,643 — adequate
Volume 727/day — adequate
$0.56 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 47% — neutral vs sector
Depth 51.0 contracts (bid:23.9 ask:27.1) — thin
Avg slippage 4.49% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -10.3% — contango
IV percentile 46% — neutral
IV kink -1.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1099.51 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -9% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.