IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 76.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.85x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 89% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.99x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 46.5% — normal range
Effective IV 56.0% (ATM 46.5% + spread 4.7% + bias) — good value
Total drag 7.37% (spread 4.74% + slippage 2.63%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 401.37 (vega 190.249 / spread 4.74%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +15% (bullish) — Raw: +12%
|OI skew| 21.0% — call-heavy
Vol skew -7.7%, OI skew +21.0% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: +88%, OTM: -10% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 66% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.0% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.0% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 61% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 35% — patient
Conviction +15 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 4.7% — acceptable
OI 6,543 — thin
Volume 195/day — thin
$0.24 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 89% — much wider than sector
Depth 9.1 contracts (bid:5.6 ask:3.5) — thin
Avg slippage 2.63% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -1.5% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 77% — seller opportunity
IV kink 1.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 493.64 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +15% @ 58% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.