EWZiShares MSCI Brazil ETF
EWZ Options Overview
bullish flow. No clear edge detected.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
EWZ Gamma Walls
EWZ Hedge Radar
Neither score is at an extreme today. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where EWZ sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.
Protection is priced in the cheap band (3.62) — near-dated vol is priced 31% below far-dated, and downside puts carry 2.7 IV points more than at-the-money, measured against this name's own rolling 20-trading-day realized moves (484 overlapping windows). Fragility reads neutral (4.2): it is trading 5% above its hedge wall on a wall graded MEDIUM for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 47.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.57x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 69% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.69x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 32.0% — normal range
Effective IV 49.7% (ATM 32.0% + spread 8.9% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 11.47% (spread 8.87% + slippage 2.60%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 3.89 (vega 3.449 / spread 8.87%) — spread drag
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +6% (neutral) — Raw: +3%
|OI skew| 51.3% — call-heavy
Vol skew +59.3%, OI skew +51.3% — aligned
0-DTE 2%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -76%, ATM: +52%, OTM: +1% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 14% — very bullish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.2% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +22.0% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 56% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 80% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 64% — urgent
Conviction +6 (bullish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.9% — wide
OI 5,955,875 — deep
Volume 190,617/day — active
$0.44 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 76% — wider than sector
Depth 764.2 contracts (bid:384.1 ask:380.1) — deep
Avg slippage 2.60% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -30.9% — contango
IV percentile 48% — neutral
IV kink -9.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 150.62 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +6% @ 53% consistency — unclear
Score 110 (ITM 20% + inst 80%) — HIGH institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.