IV is elevated with bullish flow. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 70.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.00x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 29% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.96x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 42.4% — normal range
Effective IV 62.7% (ATM 42.4% + spread 10.2% + bias) — good value
Total drag 16.71% (spread 10.15% + slippage 6.56%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 5.16 (vega 5.234 / spread 10.15%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +22% (bullish) — Raw: +9%
|OI skew| 28.3% — call-heavy
Vol skew +14.3%, OI skew +28.3% — aligned
0-DTE 62%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +35%, ATM: -2%, OTM: -17% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 69% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 4.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 28% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 37% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 40% — patient
Conviction +22 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 10.2% — wide
OI 327,568 — deep
Volume 13,288/day — active
$0.51 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 31% — tighter than sector
Depth 371.7 contracts (bid:235.7 ask:136.0) — adequate
Avg slippage 6.56% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -4.2% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 71% — seller opportunity
IV kink 2.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 103.84 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +22% @ 61% consistency — unclear
Score 67 (ITM 20% + inst 37%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.