IV is elevated with bullish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 96.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.62x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 98% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.07x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 132.4% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 150.1% (ATM 132.4% + spread 8.9% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 11.74% (spread 8.87% + slippage 2.87%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 2.60 (vega 2.308 / spread 8.87%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -1% (neutral) — Raw: +5%
|OI skew| 39.6% — call-heavy
Vol skew +80.5%, OI skew +39.6% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +3%, ATM: +4%, OTM: +5% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 12% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 19.2% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +30.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 92% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 39% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 42% — patient
Conviction -1 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.9% — wide
OI 216,742 — deep
Volume 41,586/day — active
$0.44 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 99% — much wider than sector
Depth 366.4 contracts (bid:217.0 ask:149.4) — adequate
Avg slippage 2.87% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +7.1% — backwardation
IV percentile 97% — seller opportunity
IV kink 5.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 22.47 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -1% @ 50% consistency — unclear
Score 69 (ITM 20% + inst 39%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.