IV is elevated with bearish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 76.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.37x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 80% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.91x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 65.0% — normal range
Effective IV 146.1% (ATM 65.0% + spread 40.6% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 62.48% (spread 40.57% + slippage 21.91%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 2.56 (vega 10.386 / spread 40.57%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +10% (bullish) — Raw: +4%
|OI skew| 65.4% — put-heavy
Vol skew -82.6%, OI skew -65.4% — aligned
0-DTE 91%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: +9%, OTM: -71% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 98% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.0% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +0.2% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 28% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 47% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 33% — patient
Conviction +10 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 40.6% — wide
OI 90,701 — deep
Volume 885/day — adequate
$2.03 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 89% — much wider than sector
Depth 207.9 contracts (bid:154.3 ask:53.6) — adequate
Avg slippage 21.91% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -8.8% — contango
IV percentile 76% — seller opportunity
IV kink -4.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 361.90 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +10% @ 55% consistency — unclear
Score 77 (ITM 20% + inst 47%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.