IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 89.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.12x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 81% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.98x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 91.1% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 111.0% (ATM 91.1% + spread 9.9% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 14.87% (spread 9.93% + slippage 4.94%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 2.63 (vega 2.607 / spread 9.93%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +2% (neutral) — Raw: -2%
|OI skew| 31.3% — call-heavy
Vol skew +56.6%, OI skew +31.3% — aligned
0-DTE 60%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -11%, ATM: -20%, OTM: +5% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 43% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.5x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +43.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 62% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 17% — mixed
Aggressive execution 28% — patient
Conviction +2 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.9% — wide
OI 29,608 — adequate
Volume 1,816/day — adequate
$0.50 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 90% — much wider than sector
Depth 68.5 contracts (bid:44.8 ask:23.7) — thin
Avg slippage 4.94% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -1.7% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 89% — seller opportunity
IV kink -0.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1.71 — favors mixed
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +2% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 47 (ITM 20% + inst 17%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.