IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 88.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.23x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 95% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.98x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 54.9% — normal range
Effective IV 68.8% (ATM 54.9% + spread 7.0% + bias) — fair
Total drag 13.59% (spread 6.96% + slippage 6.63%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 104.30 (vega 72.592 / spread 6.96%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -6% (neutral) — Raw: -7%
|OI skew| 22.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew +56.6%, OI skew +22.9% — aligned
0-DTE 34%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +12%, ATM: +5%, OTM: -12% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 32% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.0% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 5% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 15% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 28% — patient
Conviction -6 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 7.0% — wide
OI 574,424 — deep
Volume 9,071/day — active
$0.35 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 95% — much wider than sector
Depth 187.60000000000002 contracts (bid:87.2 ask:100.4) — adequate
Avg slippage 6.63% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -2.0% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 89% — seller opportunity
IV kink 0.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 791.63 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -6% @ 53% consistency — unclear
Score 45 (ITM 20% + inst 15%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.