
IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 85.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.52x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 70% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.07x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 80.8% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 120.1% (ATM 80.8% + spread 19.6% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 26.58% (spread 19.64% + slippage 6.94%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 5.15 (vega 10.115 / spread 19.64%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -35% (strong bearish) — Raw: -43%
|OI skew| 45.6% — call-heavy
Vol skew +88.1%, OI skew +45.6% — aligned
0-DTE 31%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -38%, ATM: -75%, OTM: -25% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 14% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 4.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +23.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 49% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 10% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 33% — patient
Conviction -35 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 19.6% — wide
OI 48,042 — adequate
Volume 2,042/day — adequate
$0.98 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 83% — much wider than sector
Depth 260.0 contracts (bid:183.9 ask:76.1) — adequate
Avg slippage 6.94% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +6.7% — backwardation
IV percentile 86% — seller opportunity
IV kink 6.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 326.28 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -35% @ 67% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 40 (ITM 20% + inst 10%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.