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GEOThe GEO Group, Inc.

Options Analysis ReportGENERAL BLDG CONTRACTORS - RESIDENTIAL BLDGS
Market Cap $4.3B|NYSE
2026-08-28$32.60
VERY BULLISH
Analysis: 2026-08-27 EOD data
1Y +58.3%YTD +104.6%7D -0.3%
3,133
30D
±12.6%
1%

GEO Options Overview

IV is elevated with bullish flow. No clear edge detected.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

5.8VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for premium sellers

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GEO Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

5.4
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 72.6% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.49x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 74% — above sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.86x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 49.3% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 68.4% (ATM 49.3% + spread 9.6% + bias) — fair

<3.0%

Total drag 12.59% (spread 9.56% + slippage 3.03%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 8.17 (vega 7.806 / spread 9.56%) — efficient

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

8.4
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bullish - Strong signal (Conviction: +53%, Raw: +40%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: +53% (strong bullish) — Raw: +40%

≥15%

|OI skew| 58.6% — call-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +92.8%, OI skew +58.6% — aligned

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +16%, ATM: +55%, OTM: +39% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 7% — very bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

3.5
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.4x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 1.5% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change -6.5% (5d) — unwinding

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 49% — neutral vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 42% — institutional presence

≥60%

Aggressive execution 27% — patient

≥30

Conviction +53 (bullish) — strong conviction

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

4.0
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks4/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 9.6% — wide

≥10,000

OI 203,773 — deep

≥500

Volume 3,133/day — adequate

≤$0.50

$0.48 to cross — cheap

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 84% — much wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 309.6 contracts (bid:140.4 ask:169.2) — adequate

<1.0%

Avg slippage 3.03% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.5
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks8/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -14.4% — contango

<30 or >70

IV percentile 73% — seller opportunity

≥10pts kink

IV kink -5.6pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 520.41 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

4 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No earnings detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow +53% @ 76% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)

≥40 composite score

Score 72 (ITM 20% + inst 42%) — HIGH institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls6.6
bullishIV fair, bullish flow
Long Puts4.2
bearishIV fair, bullish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put5.7
bullishIV fair, bullish flow
Covered Call3.9
bearishIV fair, bullish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.