
GEOThe GEO Group, Inc.
GEO Options Overview
IV is elevated with bullish flow. No clear edge detected.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
GEO Gamma Walls
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 72.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.49x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 74% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.86x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 49.3% — normal range
Effective IV 68.4% (ATM 49.3% + spread 9.6% + bias) — fair
Total drag 12.59% (spread 9.56% + slippage 3.03%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 8.17 (vega 7.806 / spread 9.56%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +53% (strong bullish) — Raw: +40%
|OI skew| 58.6% — call-heavy
Vol skew +92.8%, OI skew +58.6% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +16%, ATM: +55%, OTM: +39% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 7% — very bullish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.5% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -6.5% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 49% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 42% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 27% — patient
Conviction +53 (bullish) — strong conviction
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.6% — wide
OI 203,773 — deep
Volume 3,133/day — adequate
$0.48 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 84% — much wider than sector
Depth 309.6 contracts (bid:140.4 ask:169.2) — adequate
Avg slippage 3.03% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -14.4% — contango
IV percentile 73% — seller opportunity
IV kink -5.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 520.41 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +53% @ 76% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 72 (ITM 20% + inst 42%) — HIGH institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.