IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 86.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.86x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 93% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.98x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 51.8% — normal range
Effective IV 67.5% (ATM 51.8% + spread 7.8% + bias) — fair
Total drag 14.56% (spread 7.83% + slippage 6.73%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 133.84 (vega 104.796 / spread 7.83%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +14% (bullish) — Raw: +16%
|OI skew| 11.1% — balanced
Vol skew -9.4%, OI skew -11.1% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 43%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -6%, ATM: +20%, OTM: +18% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 66% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.5x avg — normal
Vol/OI 5.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +7.5% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 84% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 3% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 25% — patient
Conviction +14 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 7.8% — wide
OI 221,092 — deep
Volume 11,516/day — active
$0.39 to cross — cheap
4 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 94% — much wider than sector
Depth 51.1 contracts (bid:24.5 ask:26.6) — thin
Avg slippage 6.73% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -2.4% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 86% — seller opportunity
IV kink 0.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 83.29 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +14% @ 57% consistency — unclear
Score 33 (ITM 20% + inst 3%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.