IV is elevated with bearish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 72.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.37x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 81% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.03x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 60.0% — normal range
Effective IV 174.5% (ATM 60.0% + spread 57.3% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 76.62% (spread 57.26% + slippage 19.36%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 2.31 (vega 13.248 / spread 57.26%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -72% (strong bearish) — Raw: -61%
|OI skew| 7.0% — balanced
Vol skew -30.8%, OI skew +7.0% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 6%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: +1%, OTM: -68% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 91% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 27% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 47% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 22% — patient
Conviction -72 (bearish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 57.3% — wide
OI 69,794 — deep
Volume 853/day — adequate
$2.86 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 84% — much wider than sector
Depth 378.2 contracts (bid:196.2 ask:182.0) — adequate
Avg slippage 19.36% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +3.1% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 72% — seller opportunity
IV kink 1.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 849.23 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -72% @ 86% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 77 (ITM 20% + inst 47%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.