Mixed signals. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 32.1% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.36x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 26% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.97x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 30.6% — normal range
Effective IV 55.4% (ATM 30.6% + spread 12.4% + bias) — good value
Total drag 21.13% (spread 12.41% + slippage 8.72%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 33.41 (vega 41.462 / spread 12.41%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -5% (neutral) — Raw: +3%
|OI skew| 32.8% — call-heavy
Vol skew +12.0%, OI skew +32.8% — aligned
0-DTE 34%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -10%, ATM: -35%, OTM: +19% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 54% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.5% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 32% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 36% — patient
Conviction -5 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 12.4% — wide
OI 185,488 — deep
Volume 3,284/day — adequate
$0.62 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 29% — tighter than sector
Depth 120.1 contracts (bid:47.8 ask:72.3) — adequate
Avg slippage 8.72% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -2.7% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 32% — neutral
IV kink 0.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1415.07 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -5% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.