Mixed signals. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 36.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.32x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 60% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.97x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 31.3% — normal range
Effective IV 46.9% (ATM 31.3% + spread 7.8% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 12.99% (spread 7.80% + slippage 5.19%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 730.88 (vega 570.083 / spread 7.80%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +8% (neutral) — Raw: +7%
|OI skew| 9.7% — balanced
Vol skew +34.4%, OI skew +9.7% — aligned
0-DTE 41%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -8%, ATM: +2%, OTM: +9% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 49% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 12.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +13.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 90% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 8% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 28% — patient
Conviction +8 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 7.8% — wide
OI 444,241 — deep
Volume 54,406/day — active
$0.39 to cross — cheap
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 62% — wider than sector
Depth 108.0 contracts (bid:52.3 ask:55.7) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.19% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -3.2% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 37% — neutral
IV kink 0.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 4443.36 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +8% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 38 (ITM 20% + inst 8%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.