IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 86.3% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.16x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 70% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.42x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 81.3% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 136.1% (ATM 81.3% + spread 27.4% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 30.06% (spread 27.41% + slippage 2.65%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.80 (vega 2.189 / spread 27.41%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -4% (neutral) — Raw: -7%
|OI skew| 40.5% — call-heavy
Vol skew +18.3%, OI skew +40.5% — aligned
0-DTE 8%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -39%, ATM: +43%, OTM: -10% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 70% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.5% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 32% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 12% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 12% — patient
Conviction -4 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 27.4% — wide
OI 265,794 — deep
Volume 6,327/day — active
$1.37 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 83% — much wider than sector
Depth 479.6 contracts (bid:280.8 ask:198.8) — adequate
Avg slippage 2.65% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +42.4% — backwardation
IV percentile 86% — seller opportunity
IV kink 27.3pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 50.20 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -4% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 42 (ITM 20% + inst 12%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.