IV is elevated with bullish flow. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 85.3% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.14x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 70% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.93x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 80.5% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 119.4% (ATM 80.5% + spread 19.5% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 21.28% (spread 19.46% + slippage 1.82%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 4.38 (vega 8.525 / spread 19.46%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -6% (neutral) — Raw: -12%
|OI skew| 40.8% — call-heavy
Vol skew +53.4%, OI skew +40.8% — aligned
0-DTE 6%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -19%, ATM: +9%, OTM: -11% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 45% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +6.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 31% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 2% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 10% — patient
Conviction -6 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 19.5% — wide
OI 269,227 — deep
Volume 5,657/day — active
$0.97 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 83% — much wider than sector
Depth 570.4 contracts (bid:127.2 ask:443.2) — deep
Avg slippage 1.82% — fair
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -6.7% — contango
IV percentile 85% — seller opportunity
IV kink -13.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 968.76 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -6% @ 53% consistency — unclear
Score 32 (ITM 20% + inst 2%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.