Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 60.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.12x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 64% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.98x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 38.0% — normal range
Effective IV 52.5% (ATM 38.0% + spread 7.2% + bias) — good value
Total drag 12.28% (spread 7.23% + slippage 5.05%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 4.54 (vega 3.284 / spread 7.23%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +22% (bullish) — Raw: +23%
|OI skew| 6.9% — balanced
Vol skew -4.9%, OI skew +6.9% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 30%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -2%, ATM: -32%, OTM: +44% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 91% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.5x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.9% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 14% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 24% — mixed
Aggressive execution 38% — patient
Conviction +22 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 7.2% — wide
OI 609,546 — deep
Volume 10,857/day — active
$0.36 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 64% — wider than sector
Depth 311.7 contracts (bid:151.1 ask:160.6) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.05% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -1.6% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 61% — neutral
IV kink 0.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 81.70 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +22% @ 61% consistency — unclear
Score 54 (ITM 20% + inst 24%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.