HDHome Depot, Inc.
HD Options Overview
unusual activity. No clear edge detected.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
HD Gamma Walls
HD Hedge Radar
Neither score is at an extreme today. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where HD sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.
Protection is priced in the cheap band (3.58) — downside puts carry 0.6 IV points more than at-the-money, and implied vol sits in the 21th percentile of its own past year, measured against this name's own rolling 20-trading-day realized moves (484 overlapping windows). Fragility reads neutral (5.49): it is trading 8% below its hedge wall on a wall graded HIGH for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is contracting.
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 33.9% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.49x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 18% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.03x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 28.9% — normal range
Effective IV 42.1% (ATM 28.9% + spread 6.6% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 11.64% (spread 6.61% + slippage 5.03%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 42.70 (vega 28.225 / spread 6.61%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -1% (neutral) — Raw: -2%
|OI skew| 9.5% — balanced
Vol skew -13.9%, OI skew +9.5% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 23%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -23%, ATM: +23%, OTM: -13% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 62% — bearish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.6x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 14.4% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -0.6% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 86% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 28% — mixed
Aggressive execution 31% — patient
Conviction -1 (bearish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 6.6% — wide
OI 236,344 — deep
Volume 34,103/day — active
$0.33 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 20% — much tighter than sector
Depth 89.19999999999999 contracts (bid:40.3 ask:48.9) — thin
Avg slippage 5.03% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +2.8% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 34% — neutral
IV kink 2.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 161.56 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: FOMC in 5d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -1% @ 50% consistency — unclear
Score 58 (ITM 20% + inst 28%) — moderate institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Sep 7, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.