IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 21.7% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.06x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 13% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.98x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 28.6% — normal range
Effective IV 44.2% (ATM 28.6% + spread 7.8% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 11.08% (spread 7.78% + slippage 3.30%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 113.38 (vega 88.208 / spread 7.78%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -22% (bearish) — Raw: -15%
|OI skew| 28.8% — call-heavy
Vol skew +15.4%, OI skew +28.8% — aligned
0-DTE 23%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -21%, ATM: +30%, OTM: -39% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 45% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +10.0% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 81% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 14% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 30% — patient
Conviction -22 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 7.8% — wide
OI 150,373 — deep
Volume 10,438/day — active
$0.39 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 17% — much tighter than sector
Depth 120.0 contracts (bid:54.8 ask:65.2) — adequate
Avg slippage 3.30% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -1.7% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 22% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 0.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 2309.10 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -22% @ 61% consistency — unclear
Score 44 (ITM 20% + inst 14%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.