Options/ILMN
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ILMNIllumina Inc

Options Analysis ReportLABORATORY ANALYTICAL INSTRUMENTS
Market Cap $30.4B|NASDAQ
2026-09-11$201.27
BULLISH
Analysis: 2026-09-10 EOD data
1Y +102.7%YTD +49.8%7D -7.8%
236
30D
±8.6%
46%

ILMN Options Overview

IV is elevated with bullish flow. No clear edge detected.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

4.9VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Balanced conditions with no clear edge

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ILMN Gamma Walls

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ILMN Hedge Radar

No action needed
Full Hedge Radar

Fragility reads low; protection is priced cheap. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where ILMN sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.

Protection is priced in the cheap band (2.53) — downside puts carry 0.2 IV points LESS than at-the-money, and near-dated vol is priced 10% below far-dated, measured against this name's own rolling 19-trading-day realized moves (485 overlapping windows). Fragility reads resilient (3.38): it is trading 11% above its hedge wall on a wall graded MEDIUM for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.

Protection cost
2.53/ 10cheap
Basis: cross_sectional
Fragility
3.38/ 10resilient
Basis: per_ticker

Value

Is IV priced right?

6.0
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 71.9% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 0.98x — IV ≤ HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 45% — below sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.97x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 50.2% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 68.0% (ATM 50.2% + spread 8.9% + bias) — fair

<3.0%

Total drag 12.24% (spread 8.91% + slippage 3.33%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 52.03 (vega 46.357 / spread 8.91%) — efficient

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

6.5
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksNeutral - Moderate signal (Conviction: -0%, Raw: +4%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -0% (neutral) — Raw: +4%

≥15%

|OI skew| 31.2% — call-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +61.0%, OI skew +31.2% — aligned

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -13%, ATM: +43%, OTM: +2% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 31% — bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

2.6
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.2x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 1.1% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +5.9% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 42% — neutral vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 17% — patient

≥30

Conviction -0 (bearish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

3.7
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 8.9% — wide

≥10,000

OI 22,251 — adequate

≥500

Volume 236/day — thin

≤$0.50

$0.45 to cross — cheap

≥5 strikes

1 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 78% — wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 43.900000000000006 contracts (bid:23.6 ask:20.3) — thin

<1.0%

Avg slippage 3.33% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

6.0
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks4/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -2.7% — flat/unclear

<30 or >70

IV percentile 72% — seller opportunity

≥10pts kink

IV kink 1.0pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 432.03 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

caution advised: FOMC in 5d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -0% @ 50% consistency — unclear

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls5.8
bullishIV fair, bullish flow
Long Puts4.8
bearishIV fair, bullish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put5.1
bullishIV fair, bullish flow
Covered Call4.1
bearishIV fair, bullish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Sep 7, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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