IV is elevated. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 70.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.53x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 45% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.86x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 58.4% — normal range
Effective IV 79.2% (ATM 58.4% + spread 10.4% + bias) — fair
Total drag 14.54% (spread 10.41% + slippage 4.13%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 30.81 (vega 32.069 / spread 10.41%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -19% (bearish) — Raw: -12%
|OI skew| 28.0% — call-heavy
Vol skew +7.8%, OI skew +28.0% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 21%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -43%, ATM: -19%, OTM: +1% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 62% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.0% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +26.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 33% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 51% — patient
Conviction -19 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 10.4% — wide
OI 102,870 — deep
Volume 998/day — adequate
$0.52 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 78% — wider than sector
Depth 84.7 contracts (bid:55.7 ask:29.0) — thin
Avg slippage 4.13% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -14.0% — contango
IV percentile 71% — seller opportunity
IV kink -4.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 577.82 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -19% @ 59% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.