IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 96.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.83x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 87% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.35x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 72.4% — normal range
Effective IV 78.4% (ATM 72.4% + spread 3.0% + bias) — fair
Total drag 4.58% (spread 3.00% + slippage 1.58%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 36.09 (vega 10.827 / spread 3.00%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +4% (neutral) — Raw: +3%
|OI skew| 0.4% — balanced
Vol skew +5.1%, OI skew -0.4% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +15%, ATM: +6%, OTM: +0% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 70% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 10.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +6.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 77% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 31% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 52% — patient
Conviction +4 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 3.0% — acceptable
OI 5,327,432 — deep
Volume 542,891/day — active
$0.15 to cross — cheap
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 87% — much wider than sector
Depth 459.4 contracts (bid:232.3 ask:227.1) — adequate
Avg slippage 1.58% — fair
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +35.2% — backwardation
IV percentile 96% — seller opportunity
IV kink 23.9pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 109.92 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
HIGH RISK: FOMC in 0d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +4% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 61 (ITM 20% + inst 31%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.