IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 98.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.06x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 94% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.08x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 89.0% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 96.5% (ATM 89.0% + spread 3.8% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 5.64% (spread 3.75% + slippage 1.89%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 25.20 (vega 9.449 / spread 3.75%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +6% (neutral) — Raw: +7%
|OI skew| 1.7% — balanced
Vol skew +10.8%, OI skew -1.7% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 52%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +7%, ATM: -0%, OTM: +10% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 51% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 15.9% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +6.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 84% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 29% — mixed
Aggressive execution 50% — patient
Conviction +6 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 3.8% — acceptable
OI 6,151,759 — deep
Volume 976,835/day — active
$0.19 to cross — cheap
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 94% — much wider than sector
Depth 294.8 contracts (bid:157.5 ask:137.3) — adequate
Avg slippage 1.89% — fair
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +8.4% — backwardation
IV percentile 99% — seller opportunity
IV kink 4.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 33.74 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: FOMC in 5d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +6% @ 53% consistency — unclear
Score 59 (ITM 20% + inst 29%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.