IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 95.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.46x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 80% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.53x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 65.3% — normal range
Effective IV 97.8% (ATM 65.3% + spread 16.2% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 25.51% (spread 16.25% + slippage 9.26%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 18.80 (vega 30.554 / spread 16.25%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -12% (bearish) — Raw: -0%
|OI skew| 10.7% — balanced
Vol skew +8.3%, OI skew +10.7% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 22%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -35%, ATM: -0%, OTM: +12% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 75% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.0x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +8.0% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 46% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 10% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 34% — patient
Conviction -12 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 16.2% — wide
OI 135,464 — deep
Volume 8,794/day — active
$0.81 to cross — expensive
3 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 80% — much wider than sector
Depth 41.3 contracts (bid:20.3 ask:21.0) — thin
Avg slippage 9.26% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +52.5% — backwardation
IV percentile 96% — seller opportunity
IV kink 25.9pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 41.30 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 5d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -12% @ 56% consistency — unclear
Score 40 (ITM 20% + inst 10%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.