IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 93.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.06x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 96% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.09x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 111.4% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 123.9% (ATM 111.4% + spread 6.2% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 9.42% (spread 6.23% + slippage 3.19%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 12.56 (vega 7.824 / spread 6.23%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +9% (neutral) — Raw: +16%
|OI skew| 16.3% — call-heavy
Vol skew +32.4%, OI skew +16.3% — aligned
0-DTE 53%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +7%, ATM: -3%, OTM: +19% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 26% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 19.4% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +14.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 92% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 43% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 47% — patient
Conviction +9 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 6.2% — wide
OI 2,212,228 — deep
Volume 428,866/day — active
$0.31 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 97% — much wider than sector
Depth 400.9 contracts (bid:213.7 ask:187.2) — adequate
Avg slippage 3.19% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +8.7% — backwardation
IV percentile 94% — seller opportunity
IV kink 7.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 81.08 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +9% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 73 (ITM 20% + inst 43%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.