bullish flow with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 69.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.68x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 89% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.96x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 42.1% — normal range
Effective IV 72.5% (ATM 42.1% + spread 15.2% + bias) — fair
Total drag 27.12% (spread 15.20% + slippage 11.92%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 2.25 (vega 3.425 / spread 15.20%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -86% (strong bearish) — Raw: -86%
|OI skew| 81.2% — call-heavy
Vol skew +99.8%, OI skew +81.2% — aligned
0-DTE 100%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -86%, ATM: -76%, OTM: +43% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 0% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 12.2x avg — hot
Vol/OI 168.5% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -11.6% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 99% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 98% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 41% — patient
Conviction -86 (bearish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 15.2% — wide
OI 75,793 — deep
Volume 127,723/day — active
$0.76 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 90% — much wider than sector
Depth 489.4 contracts (bid:245.7 ask:243.7) — adequate
Avg slippage 11.92% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -4.4% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 70% — neutral
IV kink -0.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 194.63 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -86% @ 93% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 128 (ITM 20% + inst 98%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.