IV is elevated with bearish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 90.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.10x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 65% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.02x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 56.0% — normal range
Effective IV 82.8% (ATM 56.0% + spread 13.4% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 21.36% (spread 13.42% + slippage 7.94%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 82.53 (vega 110.751 / spread 13.42%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -23% (bearish) — Raw: -19%
|OI skew| 17.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew -62.7%, OI skew +17.9% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 7%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -10%, ATM: +37%, OTM: -24% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 98% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.3% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 16% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 16% — patient
Conviction -23 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 13.4% — wide
OI 45,685 — adequate
Volume 1,237/day — adequate
$0.67 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 67% — wider than sector
Depth 34.3 contracts (bid:16.5 ask:17.8) — thin
Avg slippage 7.94% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +1.8% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 91% — seller opportunity
IV kink -0.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 803.12 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -23% @ 61% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.