IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 91.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.17x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 68% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.94x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 56.4% — normal range
Effective IV 71.4% (ATM 56.4% + spread 7.5% + bias) — fair
Total drag 17.95% (spread 7.50% + slippage 10.45%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 586.23 (vega 439.676 / spread 7.50%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +11% (bullish) — Raw: +16%
|OI skew| 17.8% — put-heavy
Vol skew +3.2%, OI skew -17.8% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 52%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +18%, ATM: +1%, OTM: +23% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 78% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 4.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +7.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 32% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 33% — patient
Conviction +11 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 7.5% — wide
OI 41,949 — adequate
Volume 2,025/day — adequate
$0.38 to cross — cheap
2 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 69% — wider than sector
Depth 24.200000000000003 contracts (bid:11.3 ask:12.9) — thin
Avg slippage 10.45% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -5.9% — contango
IV percentile 91% — seller opportunity
IV kink -2.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 415.26 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +11% @ 56% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.