IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 87.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.35x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 95% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.02x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 85.2% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 104.4% (ATM 85.2% + spread 9.6% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 14.96% (spread 9.61% + slippage 5.35%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.73 (vega 0.705 / spread 9.61%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +11% (bullish) — Raw: +8%
|OI skew| 2.8% — balanced
Vol skew +13.1%, OI skew +2.8% — aligned
0-DTE 37%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -4%, ATM: +14%, OTM: +11% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 56% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +8.9% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 56% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 16% — mixed
Aggressive execution 29% — patient
Conviction +11 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.6% — wide
OI 156,188 — deep
Volume 5,038/day — active
$0.48 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 97% — much wider than sector
Depth 391.2 contracts (bid:175.1 ask:216.1) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.35% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +2.5% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 87% — seller opportunity
IV kink -8.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 21.81 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +11% @ 56% consistency — unclear
Score 46 (ITM 20% + inst 16%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.