IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 15.5% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.30x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 24% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.85x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 26.0% — normal range
Effective IV 107.6% (ATM 26.0% + spread 40.8% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 56.05% (spread 40.78% + slippage 15.27%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.26 (vega 5.124 / spread 40.78%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -8% (neutral) — Raw: +2%
|OI skew| 41.0% — call-heavy
Vol skew -50.6%, OI skew +41.0% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 21%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +5%, ATM: +4%, OTM: -17% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 94% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -2.4% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 3% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 9% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 36% — patient
Conviction -8 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 40.8% — wide
OI 358,648 — deep
Volume 2,121/day — adequate
$2.04 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 26% — tighter than sector
Depth 433.1 contracts (bid:319.6 ask:113.5) — adequate
Avg slippage 15.27% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -15.3% — contango
IV percentile 16% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 1.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 948.94 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -8% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 39 (ITM 20% + inst 9%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.