bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 34.0% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.28x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 31% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.99x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 30.9% — normal range
Effective IV 56.8% (ATM 30.9% + spread 13.0% + bias) — good value
Total drag 19.18% (spread 12.97% + slippage 6.21%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 49.06 (vega 63.632 / spread 12.97%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -26% (bearish) — Raw: -33%
|OI skew| 35.6% — call-heavy
Vol skew +82.9%, OI skew +35.6% — aligned
0-DTE 40%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -11%, ATM: -45%, OTM: +8% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 7% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 4.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +10.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 69% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 62% — urgent
Conviction -26 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 13.0% — wide
OI 18,752 — adequate
Volume 890/day — adequate
$0.65 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 35% — tighter than sector
Depth 39.3 contracts (bid:21.5 ask:17.8) — thin
Avg slippage 6.21% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -1.0% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 34% — neutral
IV kink 1.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 553.80 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -26% @ 63% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.