LIILennox International Inc.
LII Options Overview
Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
LII Gamma Walls
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 63.7% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.40x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 70% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.97x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 36.8% — normal range
Effective IV 65.6% (ATM 36.8% + spread 14.4% + bias) — fair
Total drag 19.43% (spread 14.38% + slippage 5.05%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 52.91 (vega 76.084 / spread 14.38%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -29% (bearish) — Raw: -30%
|OI skew| 0.7% — balanced
Vol skew +10.6%, OI skew -0.7% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -40%, ATM: -9%, OTM: -36% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 47% — neutral vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.5x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.4% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 43% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 26% — patient
Conviction -29 (bearish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 14.4% — wide
OI 2,003 — thin
Volume 47/day — thin
$0.72 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 72% — wider than sector
Depth 22.1 contracts (bid:8.4 ask:13.7) — thin
Avg slippage 5.05% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -2.7% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 64% — neutral
IV kink 0.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 486.16 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: FOMC in 5d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -29% @ 65% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Sep 7, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.