
IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 97.3% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.11x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 98% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.23x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 138.8% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 167.2% (ATM 138.8% + spread 14.2% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 19.63% (spread 14.19% + slippage 5.44%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.67 (vega 0.948 / spread 14.19%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +16% (bullish) — Raw: +15%
|OI skew| 14.4% — balanced
Vol skew +25.6%, OI skew +14.4% — aligned
0-DTE 39%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +30%, ATM: +6%, OTM: +12% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 56% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 17.3% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +13.0% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 91% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 18% — mixed
Aggressive execution 35% — patient
Conviction +16 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 14.2% — wide
OI 373,675 — deep
Volume 64,654/day — active
$0.71 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 99% — much wider than sector
Depth 302.0 contracts (bid:183.5 ask:118.5) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.44% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +23.0% — backwardation
IV percentile 97% — seller opportunity
IV kink 16.3pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 1.01 — favors mixed
4 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +16% @ 58% consistency — unclear
Score 48 (ITM 20% + inst 18%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.