Options/LYB

LYBLyondellBasell Industries N.V. Class A

Options Analysis Report•INDUSTRIAL ORGANIC CHEMICALS

Market Cap $20.8B|NYSE

● 2026-09-11$64.30

BEARISH

Analysis: 2026-09-10 EOD data

1Y +15.9%YTD +44.9%7D +1.2%

Options Vol

1,303

30D

Implied Move

±8.6%

IV Rank

12%

LYB Options Overview

IV is elevated with bearish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for premium sellers

Learn

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LYB Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

5.4

ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed

IV Rank

≤35%

IV Rank 75.6% — elevated vs history

IV/HV Ratio

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.33x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 65% — above sector median

Term Structure

<1.1x

Front/Back 1.02x — flat

Skew Normal

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

Absolute IV

<80%

ATM IV 41.7% — normal range

Spread-Adjusted Value

<80%

Effective IV 70.7% (ATM 41.7% + spread 14.5% + bias) — fair

Execution Efficiency

<3.0%

Total drag 20.21% (spread 14.48% + slippage 5.73%) — high friction

Vega Efficiency

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 5.59 (vega 8.088 / spread 14.48%) — acceptable

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

1.6

BearishBullish

Analyzes

put/call ratios

open interest skew

, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bearish - Strong signal (Conviction: -55%, Raw: -50%)

Flow Direction

|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -55% (strong bearish) — Raw: -50%

OI Skew Magnitude

≥15%

|OI skew| 27.6% — put-heavy

Volume-OI Alignment

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew -46.3%, OI skew -27.6% — aligned

Conviction Quality

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

OI Momentum

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

Smart Money Flow

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -87%, ATM: -64%, OTM: +5% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 95% — very bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

2.5

QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

block trades

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed

Volume Surge

≥1.5x

Volume 0.4x avg — normal

Turnover Rate

≥15%

Vol/OI 0.9% — normal turnover

Multi-Day Persistence

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

OI Build

≥5%

OI change +0.5% (5d) — stable

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 5% — quiet vs sector

Trade Quality

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

Execution Urgency

≥60%

Aggressive execution 27% — patient

Flow Conviction

≥30

Conviction -55 (bearish) — strong conviction

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

3.1

IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

bid-ask spreads

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks3/8 checks passed

Tradeable Spread

≤5.0%

Spread 14.5% — wide

Adequate OI

≥10,000

OI 143,308 — deep

Active Volume

≥500

Volume 1,303/day — adequate

Reasonable Cost

≤$0.50

$0.72 to cross — expensive

Strike Coverage

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 65% — wider than sector

Order Book Depth

≥100 contracts

Depth 166.60000000000002 contracts (bid:82.4 ask:84.2) — adequate

Execution Quality

<1.0%

Avg slippage 5.73% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

6.4

RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

time decay

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed

Term Structure Clarity

|slope| ≥5%

Slope +2.2% — flat/unclear

IV Percentile Clarity

<30 or >70

IV percentile 76% — seller opportunity

Event Detection

≥10pts kink

IV kink 1.9pts — no clear event

Theta/Vega Clarity

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 159.21 — favors income trades

Expiration Distribution

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

Event Risk

≥60% (safe)

caution advised: FOMC in 5d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)

Spread Momentum

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

Flow Momentum

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -55% @ 78% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)

Smart Money Timing

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers

Long Calls3.9

bullishIV fair, bearish flow

Long Puts7.1

bearishIV fair, bearish flow

Premium Sellers

Cash-Secured Put3.5

bullishIV fair, bearish flow

Covered Call5.9

bearishIV fair, bearish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Sep 7, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

More on LYB

LYB gamma walls LYB option chain LYB max pain LYB expected move LYB IV rank LYB put/call ratio LYB options flow