LYVLive Nation Entertainment Inc.
Options Analysis Report•SERVICES-AMUSEMENT & RECREATION SERVICES
Market Cap $39.6B|NYSE
● 2026-05-15$169.99
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-05-14 EOD data
1Y +16.9%YTD +17.0%7D +4.1%
Options Vol
3,917
30D
Implied Move
±8.6%
IV Rank
68%
LYV Options Overview
Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
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Value
Is IV priced right?
6.5
ExpensiveCheap
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV
levels.Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
IV Rank
≤35%IV Rank 46.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV Ratio
<1.05xIV/HV 1.05x — IV premium over HV
Sector Relative≤50%
Sector percentile 47% — below sector median
Term Structure
<1.1xFront/Back 0.83x — contango
Skew Normal
<1.25xPut/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
Absolute IV
<80%ATM IV 34.0% — normal range
Spread-Adjusted Value
<80%Effective IV 55.6% (ATM 34.0% + spread 10.8% + bias) — good value
Execution Efficiency
<3.0%Total drag 17.68% (spread 10.81% + slippage 6.87%) — high friction
Vega Efficiency
≥5.0Vega efficiency 40.20 (vega 43.458 / spread 10.81%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
5.7
BearishBullish
Analyzes
put/call ratios
, open interest skew
, and flow direction to determine market bias.Risk ChecksBullish - Moderate signal (Conviction: +13%, Raw: +12%)
Flow Direction
|net sentiment| ≥25%Conviction-weighted: +13% (bullish) — Raw: +12%
OI Skew Magnitude
≥15%|OI skew| 1.0% — balanced
Volume-OI Alignment
Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%Vol skew +10.5%, OI skew +1.0% — aligned
Conviction Quality
≥2/3 conditions0-DTE 30%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI Momentum
|change| ≥3%OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
Smart Money Flow
|weighted flow| ≥20%ITM: +12%, ATM: +12%, OTM: +13% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%
Sector P/C percentile 53% — neutral vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
3.0
QuietActive
Detects volume surges,
block trades
, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.Risk Checks1/9 checks passed
Volume Surge
≥1.5xVolume 0.8x avg — normal
Turnover Rate
≥15%Vol/OI 2.3% — normal turnover
Strike Concentration
≥60%Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
Multi-Day Persistence
≥2 days1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI Build
≥5%OI change +9.7% (5d) — building
Sector Relative≥60%
Sector activity percentile 19% — quiet vs sector
Trade Quality
≥30%Large trade volume 4% — mostly retail
Execution Urgency
≥60%Aggressive execution 32% — patient
Flow Conviction
≥30Conviction +13 (bullish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
3.9
IlliquidLiquid
Evaluates
bid-ask spreads
, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.Risk Checks3/8 checks passed
Tradeable Spread
≤5.0%Spread 10.8% — wide
Adequate OI
≥10,000OI 173,442 — deep
Active Volume
≥500Volume 3,917/day — adequate
Reasonable Cost
≤$0.50$0.54 to cross — expensive
Strike Coverage
≥5 strikes0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector Relative≤40%
Sector spread percentile 53% — neutral vs sector
Order Book Depth
≥100 contractsDepth 114.7 contracts (bid:56.6 ask:58.1) — adequate
Execution Quality
<1.0%Avg slippage 6.87% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
6.7
RiskyFavorable
Considers earnings proximity,
time decay
, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
Term Structure Clarity
|slope| ≥5%Slope -16.9% — contango
IV Percentile Clarity
<30 or >70IV percentile 47% — neutral
Event Detection
≥10pts kinkIV kink -1.6pts — no clear event
Theta/Vega Clarity
<0.5 or >2.0θ/ν ratio 731.61 — favors income trades
Expiration Distribution
≥3 expirations5 liquid expirations — flexible
Event Risk
≥60% (safe)safe window: No events detected
Spread Momentum
<1.2 ratioSpread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow Momentum
≥25% strength + ≥50% consistencyFlow +13% @ 56% consistency — unclear
Smart Money Timing
≥40 composite scoreScore 34 (ITM 20% + inst 4%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
Option Buyers
Long Calls5.9
bullishIV cheap, mixed flow
Long Puts5.4
bearishIV cheap, mixed flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.8
bullishIV too cheap, mixed flow
Covered Call4.4
bearishIV too cheap, mixed flow
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.