Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 37.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.18x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 18% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.97x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 31.4% — normal range
Effective IV 51.4% (ATM 31.4% + spread 10.0% + bias) — good value
Total drag 16.10% (spread 10.00% + slippage 6.10%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 91.55 (vega 91.555 / spread 10.00%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -20% (bearish) — Raw: -21%
|OI skew| 31.6% — call-heavy
Vol skew -4.0%, OI skew +31.6% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 18%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +8%, ATM: -26%, OTM: -19% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 68% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 2% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 39% — patient
Conviction -20 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 10.0% — wide
OI 66,630 — deep
Volume 448/day — thin
$0.50 to cross — cheap
2 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 20% — much tighter than sector
Depth 53.400000000000006 contracts (bid:31.1 ask:22.3) — thin
Avg slippage 6.10% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -2.5% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 38% — neutral
IV kink 1.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 852.46 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -20% @ 60% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.