MARMarriott International Class A Common Stock
MAR Options Overview
IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
MAR Gamma Walls
MAR Hedge Radar
Fragility reads low; protection is priced cheap. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where MAR sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.
Protection is priced in the cheap band (2.04) — implied vol sits in the 9th percentile of its own past year, and options are pricing vol 25% below what the stock has actually been realizing, measured against this name's own rolling 21-trading-day realized moves (483 overlapping windows). Fragility reads resilient (3.51): it is trading 9% above its hedge wall on a wall graded MEDIUM for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 24.8% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 0.75x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 10% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.86x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 25.5% — normal range
Effective IV 51.7% (ATM 25.5% + spread 13.1% + bias) — good value
Total drag 19.63% (spread 13.08% + slippage 6.55%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 13.07 (vega 17.098 / spread 13.08%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -4% (neutral) — Raw: -2%
|OI skew| 10.8% — balanced
Vol skew -19.3%, OI skew +10.8% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 8%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -83%, ATM: +16%, OTM: -25% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 76% — very bearish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.7% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -4.2% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 44% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 19% — mixed
Aggressive execution 32% — patient
Conviction -4 (bearish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 13.1% — wide
OI 55,108 — deep
Volume 2,034/day — adequate
$0.65 to cross — expensive
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 14% — much tighter than sector
Depth 46.5 contracts (bid:18.3 ask:28.2) — thin
Avg slippage 6.55% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -14.1% — contango
IV percentile 25% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -1.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 50.23 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -4% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 49 (ITM 20% + inst 19%) — moderate institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.