Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 34.5% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.14x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 30% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.89x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 31.0% — normal range
Effective IV 67.5% (ATM 31.0% + spread 18.2% + bias) — fair
Total drag 24.94% (spread 18.24% + slippage 6.70%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.54 (vega 0.976 / spread 18.24%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +27% (bullish) — Raw: +20%
|OI skew| 40.6% — call-heavy
Vol skew -53.1%, OI skew +40.6% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 62%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +19%, ATM: -24%, OTM: +37% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 81% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +20.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 78% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 65% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 36% — patient
Conviction +27 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 18.2% — wide
OI 185,618 — deep
Volume 11,854/day — active
$0.91 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 32% — tighter than sector
Depth 433.6 contracts (bid:219.9 ask:213.7) — adequate
Avg slippage 6.70% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -11.0% — contango
IV percentile 34% — neutral
IV kink -4.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 7.73 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 19d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +27% @ 64% consistency — moderate (bullish)
Score 95 (ITM 20% + inst 65%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.