IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 22.3% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.09x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 14% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.95x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 28.7% — normal range
Effective IV 60.6% (ATM 28.7% + spread 15.9% + bias) — good value
Total drag 22.21% (spread 15.94% + slippage 6.27%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 21.14 (vega 33.698 / spread 15.94%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +4% (neutral) — Raw: +5%
|OI skew| 11.2% — balanced
Vol skew -17.5%, OI skew -11.2% — aligned
0-DTE 12%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +26%, ATM: +36%, OTM: -11% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 81% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.9% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 56% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 17% — mixed
Aggressive execution 30% — patient
Conviction +4 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 15.9% — wide
OI 113,814 — deep
Volume 4,133/day — adequate
$0.80 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 19% — much tighter than sector
Depth 156.8 contracts (bid:55.7 ask:101.1) — adequate
Avg slippage 6.27% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -5.0% — contango
IV percentile 22% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 0.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 771.13 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +4% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 47 (ITM 20% + inst 17%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.