IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 82.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.97x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 63% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.90x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 74.9% — normal range
Effective IV 110.2% (ATM 74.9% + spread 17.6% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 25.29% (spread 17.65% + slippage 7.64%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 14.45 (vega 25.505 / spread 17.65%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -56% (strong bearish) — Raw: -30%
|OI skew| 8.8% — balanced
Vol skew +15.3%, OI skew +8.8% — aligned
0-DTE 28%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -55%, ATM: -56%, OTM: +10% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 72% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.0x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +8.5% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 61% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 46% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 42% — patient
Conviction -56 (bearish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 17.6% — wide
OI 78,124 — deep
Volume 4,744/day — adequate
$0.88 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 79% — wider than sector
Depth 210.3 contracts (bid:123.9 ask:86.4) — adequate
Avg slippage 7.64% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -10.2% — contango
IV percentile 82% — seller opportunity
IV kink -2.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 867.53 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -56% @ 78% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 76 (ITM 20% + inst 46%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.