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MOSThe Mosaic Company

Options Analysis Report•AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS
Market Cap $7.6B|NYSE
● 2026-08-28$23.76
BULLISH
Analysis: 2026-08-27 EOD data
1Y -30.0%YTD -5.0%7D -2.7%
11,144
30D
±12.9%
13%

MOS Options Overview

IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

5.4VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for premium sellers

Learn
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MOS Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

5.1
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks4/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 86.4% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.07x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 84% — above sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.96x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 46.6% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 69.6% (ATM 46.6% + spread 11.5% + bias) — fair

<3.0%

Total drag 17.42% (spread 11.48% + slippage 5.94%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 2.30 (vega 2.635 / spread 11.48%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

7.0
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksBullish - Strong signal (Conviction: +14%, Raw: +1%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: +14% (bullish) — Raw: +1%

≥15%

|OI skew| 21.1% — call-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +45.0%, OI skew +21.1% — aligned

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 9%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +32%, ATM: +37%, OTM: -11% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 25% — very bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

3.5
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.8x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 2.5% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change -1.0% (5d) — stable

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 60% — active vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 35% — institutional presence

≥60%

Aggressive execution 34% — patient

≥30

Conviction +14 (bullish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

4.1
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks3/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 11.5% — wide

≥10,000

OI 445,697 — deep

≥500

Volume 11,144/day — active

≤$0.50

$0.57 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 85% — much wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 810.5 contracts (bid:411.7 ask:398.8) — deep

<1.0%

Avg slippage 5.94% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.3
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -3.9% — flat/unclear

<30 or >70

IV percentile 86% — seller opportunity

≥10pts kink

IV kink 0.8pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 138.68 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

4 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No events detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow +14% @ 57% consistency — unclear

≥40 composite score

Score 65 (ITM 20% + inst 35%) — HIGH institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls6.0
bullishIV fair, bullish flow
Long Puts4.6
bearishIV fair, bullish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put5.5
bullishIV fair, bullish flow
Covered Call4.4
bearishIV fair, bullish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.