IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 24.4% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 0.89x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 11% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.99x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 29.9% — normal range
Effective IV 47.0% (ATM 29.9% + spread 8.6% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 13.19% (spread 8.57% + slippage 4.62%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 39.55 (vega 33.896 / spread 8.57%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +4% (neutral) — Raw: +4%
|OI skew| 4.8% — balanced
Vol skew +37.4%, OI skew +4.8% — aligned
0-DTE 10%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -1%, ATM: -14%, OTM: +14% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 33% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.9% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 58% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 17% — mixed
Aggressive execution 43% — patient
Conviction +4 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.6% — wide
OI 535,332 — deep
Volume 17,661/day — active
$0.43 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 15% — much tighter than sector
Depth 167.3 contracts (bid:86.2 ask:81.1) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.62% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -0.7% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 24% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 0.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1076.05 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: FOMC in 5d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +4% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 47 (ITM 20% + inst 17%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.