Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 57.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.34x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 56% — above sector median
Front/Back 2.04x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 38.3% — normal range
Effective IV 65.0% (ATM 38.3% + spread 13.3% + bias) — good value
Total drag 17.86% (spread 13.33% + slippage 4.53%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 20.31 (vega 27.075 / spread 13.33%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +33% (strong bullish) — Raw: +19%
|OI skew| 7.4% — balanced
Vol skew -19.2%, OI skew +7.4% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -6%, ATM: -15%, OTM: +29% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 81% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 4.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.3% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 51% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 22% — mixed
Aggressive execution 20% — patient
Conviction +33 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 13.3% — wide
OI 464,660 — deep
Volume 21,729/day — active
$0.67 to cross — expensive
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 59% — neutral vs sector
Depth 403.70000000000005 contracts (bid:131.6 ask:272.1) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.53% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +103.9% — backwardation
IV percentile 58% — neutral
IV kink 30.2pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 820.45 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
HIGH RISK: Earnings in 1d (HIGH RISK); FOMC in 0d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +33% @ 67% consistency — moderate (bullish)
Score 52 (ITM 20% + inst 22%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.