Options/MSOS
M

MSOSAdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF

Options Analysis Report
AUM $956M|ARCX
2026-09-11$4.83
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-09-10 EOD data
1Y +10.3%YTD +0.8%7D -5.5%
33,010
30D
±8.6%
13%

MSOS Options Overview

Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

5.2VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Balanced conditions with no clear edge

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MSOS Gamma Walls

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MSOS Hedge Radar

Hedge window open
Full Hedge Radar

Fragility reads high; protection is priced cheap. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where MSOS sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.

Protection is priced in the cheap band (2.19) — downside puts carry 8.1 IV points LESS than at-the-money, and implied vol sits in the 9th percentile of its own past year, measured against this name's own rolling 21-trading-day realized moves (483 overlapping windows). Fragility reads fragile (7.5): it is trading 18% above its hedge wall on a wall graded HIGH for reliability, a name whose wall relationship is measured as inverted, and its realized-vol regime is stable.

Protection cost
2.19/ 10cheap
Basis: cross_sectional
Fragility
7.50/ 10fragile
Basis: per_ticker

Value

Is IV priced right?

6.7
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 50.0% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.00x — IV ≤ HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 50% — below sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 1.00x — flat

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.00x — normal

<80%

ATM IV 0.0% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 42.2% (ATM 0.0% + spread 21.1% + bias) — excellent value

<3.0%

Total drag 27.62% (spread 21.10% + slippage 6.52%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 0.00 (vega 0.000 / spread 21.10%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

4.7
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bearish - Strong signal (Conviction: -36%, Raw: -21%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -36% (strong bearish) — Raw: -21%

≥15%

|OI skew| 72.4% — call-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +9.0%, OI skew +72.4% — weak (same direction)

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 30%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -20%, ATM: +13%, OTM: -22% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 26% — very bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

4.9
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks3/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 1.2x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 4.9% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +1.5% (5d) — stable

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 69% — active vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 65% — heavy institutional

≥60%

Aggressive execution 41% — patient

≥30

Conviction -36 (bearish) — moderate

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

4.4
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks4/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 21.1% — wide

≥10,000

OI 674,737 — deep

≥500

Volume 33,010/day — active

≤$0.50

$1.06 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 0% — much tighter than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 555.8 contracts (bid:228.4 ask:327.4) — deep

<1.0%

Avg slippage 6.52% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

5.4
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks4/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope +0.0% — flat/unclear

<30 or >70

IV percentile 50% — neutral

≥10pts kink

IV kink 0.0pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 1.00 — favors mixed

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

caution advised: No earnings detected; FOMC in 5d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -36% @ 68% consistency — moderate (bearish)

≥40 composite score

Score 95 (ITM 20% + inst 65%) — HIGH institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls5.5
bullishIV cheap, mixed flow
Long Puts5.7
bearishIV cheap, mixed flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.3
bullishIV too cheap, mixed flow
Covered Call4.5
bearishIV too cheap, mixed flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Sep 7, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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