IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 85.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.12x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 63% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.06x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 75.1% — normal range
Effective IV 86.1% (ATM 75.1% + spread 5.5% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 8.48% (spread 5.49% + slippage 2.99%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 10.41 (vega 5.713 / spread 5.49%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +2% (neutral) — Raw: +0%
|OI skew| 6.3% — balanced
Vol skew +20.7%, OI skew +6.3% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +12%, ATM: -14%, OTM: +3% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 58% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.5x avg — normal
Vol/OI 9.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -6.0% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 85% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 27% — mixed
Aggressive execution 43% — patient
Conviction +2 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 5.5% — wide
OI 2,500,593 — deep
Volume 247,532/day — active
$0.27 to cross — cheap
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 79% — wider than sector
Depth 301.20000000000005 contracts (bid:150.8 ask:150.4) — adequate
Avg slippage 2.99% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +5.9% — backwardation
IV percentile 86% — seller opportunity
IV kink 6.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 7.38 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
HIGH RISK: No earnings detected; FOMC in 0d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +2% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 57 (ITM 20% + inst 27%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.