MTCHMatch Group, Inc
Options Analysis Report•SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.
Market Cap $8.3B|NASDAQ
● 2026-05-15$35.73
BULLISH
Analysis: 2026-05-14 EOD data
1Y +23.3%YTD +12.6%7D -3.3%
Options Vol
712
30D
Implied Move
±8.6%
IV Rank
12%
MTCH Options Overview
bullish flow. No clear edge detected.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
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Value
Is IV priced right?
6.7
ExpensiveCheap
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV
levels.Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
IV Rank
≤35%IV Rank 50.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV Ratio
<1.05xIV/HV 1.00x — IV ≤ HV
Sector Relative≤50%
Sector percentile 50% — below sector median
Term Structure
<1.1xFront/Back 0.89x — contango
Skew Normal
<1.25xPut/Call IV 1.00x — normal
Absolute IV
<80%ATM IV 0.0% — normal range
Spread-Adjusted Value
<80%Effective IV 17.1% (ATM 0.0% + spread 8.6% + bias) — excellent value
Execution Efficiency
<3.0%Total drag 14.10% (spread 8.57% + slippage 5.53%) — high friction
Vega Efficiency
≥5.0Vega efficiency 0.00 (vega 0.000 / spread 8.57%) — spread drag
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
6.0
BearishBullish
Analyzes
put/call ratios
, open interest skew
, and flow direction to determine market bias.Risk ChecksBearish - Strong signal (Conviction: -14%, Raw: -14%)
Flow Direction
|net sentiment| ≥25%Conviction-weighted: -14% (bearish) — Raw: -14%
OI Skew Magnitude
≥15%|OI skew| 33.7% — call-heavy
Volume-OI Alignment
Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%Vol skew +80.3%, OI skew +33.7% — aligned
Conviction Quality
≥2/3 conditions0-DTE 16%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI Momentum
|change| ≥3%OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
Smart Money Flow
|weighted flow| ≥20%ITM: +37%, ATM: -35%, OTM: -19% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%
Sector P/C percentile 8% — very bullish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
2.3
QuietActive
Detects volume surges,
block trades
, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.Risk Checks0/9 checks passed
Volume Surge
≥1.5xVolume 0.5x avg — normal
Turnover Rate
≥15%Vol/OI 1.2% — normal turnover
Strike Concentration
≥60%Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
Multi-Day Persistence
≥2 days1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI Build
≥5%OI change -0.6% (5d) — stable
Sector Relative≥60%
Sector activity percentile 3% — quiet vs sector
Trade Quality
≥30%Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Execution Urgency
≥60%Aggressive execution 47% — patient
Flow Conviction
≥30Conviction -14 (bearish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
4.5
IlliquidLiquid
Evaluates
bid-ask spreads
, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.Risk Checks5/8 checks passed
Tradeable Spread
≤5.0%Spread 8.6% — wide
Adequate OI
≥10,000OI 56,829 — deep
Active Volume
≥500Volume 712/day — adequate
Reasonable Cost
≤$0.50$0.43 to cross — cheap
Strike Coverage
≥5 strikes0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector Relative≤40%
Sector spread percentile 0% — much tighter than sector
Order Book Depth
≥100 contractsDepth 257.1 contracts (bid:154.7 ask:102.4) — adequate
Execution Quality
<1.0%Avg slippage 5.53% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
6.3
RiskyFavorable
Considers earnings proximity,
time decay
, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.Risk Checks4/9 checks passed
Term Structure Clarity
|slope| ≥5%Slope -11.0% — contango
IV Percentile Clarity
<30 or >70IV percentile 50% — neutral
Event Detection
≥10pts kinkIV kink -2.5pts — no clear event
Theta/Vega Clarity
<0.5 or >2.0θ/ν ratio 1.00 — favors mixed
Expiration Distribution
≥3 expirations3 liquid expirations — flexible
Event Risk
≥60% (safe)safe window: No events detected
Spread Momentum
<1.2 ratioSpread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow Momentum
≥25% strength + ≥50% consistencyFlow -14% @ 57% consistency — unclear
Smart Money Timing
≥40 composite scoreScore 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
Option Buyers
Long Calls6.1
bullishIV cheap, bullish flow
Long Puts5.3
bearishIV cheap, bullish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.9
bullishIV too cheap, bullish flow
Covered Call4.2
bearishIV too cheap, bullish flow
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.