IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 83.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.38x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 65% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.97x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 75.7% — normal range
Effective IV 87.2% (ATM 75.7% + spread 5.7% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 12.83% (spread 5.74% + slippage 7.09%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 13.60 (vega 7.809 / spread 5.74%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -40% (strong bearish) — Raw: -30%
|OI skew| 50.7% — call-heavy
Vol skew +37.7%, OI skew +50.7% — aligned
0-DTE 52%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -76%, ATM: -38%, OTM: -13% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 56% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +9.0% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 38% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 47% — patient
Conviction -40 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 5.7% — wide
OI 12,518 — adequate
Volume 350/day — thin
$0.29 to cross — cheap
3 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 81% — much wider than sector
Depth 16.2 contracts (bid:8.5 ask:7.7) — thin
Avg slippage 7.09% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -2.6% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 83% — seller opportunity
IV kink -0.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 2.23 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -40% @ 70% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.