IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 97.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.31x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 89% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.41x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 79.7% — normal range
Effective IV 84.4% (ATM 79.7% + spread 2.3% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 3.52% (spread 2.34% + slippage 1.18%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 907.93 (vega 212.455 / spread 2.34%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +12% (bullish) — Raw: +5%
|OI skew| 8.0% — balanced
Vol skew +15.9%, OI skew -8.0% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +1%, ATM: +6%, OTM: +5% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 59% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 16.1% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +0.9% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 87% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 20% — mixed
Aggressive execution 38% — patient
Conviction +12 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 2.3% — acceptable
OI 2,682,196 — deep
Volume 431,319/day — active
$0.12 to cross — cheap
2 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 90% — much wider than sector
Depth 172.10000000000002 contracts (bid:85.9 ask:86.2) — adequate
Avg slippage 1.18% — fair
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +40.8% — backwardation
IV percentile 97% — seller opportunity
IV kink 27.6pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 1271.42 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
HIGH RISK: FOMC in 0d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +12% @ 56% consistency — unclear
Score 50 (ITM 20% + inst 20%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.